OPEN · ETH-03JUN26-3300-C
Checkmate Options on ETH · regime TREND_UP_WEAK · decided in 11.30 ms of a 50 ms budget.
Model snapshot at decision time
SleeveCR.1 — Checkmate Options
Decided at2026-05-20T14:18:44.000Z
UnderlyingETH
Spot$3,198.00
IV percentile 90d71.0%
IV–RV spread1,820 bps
RegimeTREND_UP_WEAK
Confidence62.0%
Expected edge145 bps
Expected payoff$8,100
Capital at risk$120,000
Latency budget50 ms
Decided within11.300 ms
Rationale tree · 1 of 2 rules fired
CR1.MINIMAX_BULL_BIASweight 55% · v0.9
minimax_score_4h >= 0.3 (obs 0.41)
4h minimax search prefers long call; score 0.41 ≥ 0.30
CR1.RF_OVERRIDE_GATEskipped · v0.9
rf_disagreement < 0.5 (obs 0.22)
RF model agrees with minimax; no override
Resulting order intent
BUY · 5 · ETH-03JUN26-3300-C
Side
BUY
Qty
5
Limit
$78.00
Fill
$78.00