NO_OP · —
Polymarket Probability Arb on SOL · regime TREND_UP_WEAK · decided in 45.08 ms of a 100 ms budget.
Model snapshot at decision time
SleeveCR.7 — Polymarket Probability Arb
Decided at2026-05-23T21:48:51.121Z
UnderlyingSOL
Spot$164.36
IV percentile 90d38.0%
IV–RV spread-183 bps
RegimeTREND_UP_WEAK
Confidence0.0%
Expected edge—
Expected payoff$15,113
Capital at risk—
Latency budget100 ms
Decided within45.079 ms
Rationale tree · 0 of 1 rules fired
CR7.PROB_ARB_EDGEskipped · v0.4
polymarket_edge abs >= 0.05 (obs 0.003)
Polymarket implied prob differs from spot by 0.003
Resulting order intent
BUY · 0 · —
Side
BUY
Qty
0
Limit
—
Fill
pending