NO_OP · —
Polymarket Probability Arb on SOL · regime RANGE_BOUND · decided in 35.74 ms of a 100 ms budget.
Model snapshot at decision time
SleeveCR.7 — Polymarket Probability Arb
Decided at2026-05-23T21:47:49.176Z
UnderlyingSOL
Spot$165.01
IV percentile 90d53.9%
IV–RV spread-1,423 bps
RegimeRANGE_BOUND
Confidence0.0%
Expected edge—
Expected payoff$16,145
Capital at risk—
Latency budget100 ms
Decided within35.738 ms
Rationale tree · 0 of 1 rules fired
CR7.PROB_ARB_EDGEskipped · v0.4
polymarket_edge abs >= 0.05 (obs -0.035)
Polymarket implied prob differs from spot by 0.035
Resulting order intent
BUY · 0 · —
Side
BUY
Qty
0
Limit
—
Fill
pending